Core Viewpoint - NXP Semiconductors is expected to report a decline in both revenues and earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024, primarily due to challenges in the automobile and communication infrastructure markets [2][3][4]. Revenue Estimates - NXP anticipates fourth-quarter revenues between 3.2 billion, with a consensus estimate of 532.7 million, indicating a 19.5% year-over-year decline [5]. - Automotive revenues are estimated at 2.93 and 3.14 per share, suggesting a 15.4% year-over-year decline [3]. - The company has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate three times in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 1.1% [3]. Market Challenges - The performance is likely to be negatively impacted by ongoing inventory corrections at Tier 1 auto customers and a slowdown in demand from European and North American car OEMs [4]. - The communications infrastructure sector is facing challenges due to a shift in demand towards gallium nitride products and weaker base station deployments globally [6]. - Macroeconomic concerns, geopolitical tensions, and high inflation are expected to have adversely affected customers' IT spending [6]. Positive Factors - Despite the challenges, NXP's performance may benefit from an expanding portfolio and positive momentum in the Industrial & IoT sectors, particularly due to demand in China and Asia Pacific [8]. - The recent launch of the i.MX 94 family of applications processors is anticipated to have contributed positively to sales in the fourth quarter [8]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for NXP, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [9][10].
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