Workflow
Hop On Board This Dirt Cheap Value Stock to Help Boost Your Passive Income Stream in 2025 and Beyond
UNPUnion Pacific(UNP) The Motley Fool·2025-01-29 14:53

Core Viewpoint - Union Pacific's stock surged 5.2% following strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings, along with positive guidance for 2025, indicating a solid position in the railroad shipping industry with limited competition and valuable infrastructure [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Union Pacific's operating revenue reached 24.25billion,a124.25 billion, a 1% increase from 24.12 billion in 2023, while operating income rose by 7% to 9.71billion,andnetincomeincreasedby69.71 billion, and net income increased by 6% to 6.75 billion [4][3]. - The company improved efficiency by moving 5% more cargo with 3% fewer employees, benefiting from lower operating costs due to reduced fuel prices [3][4]. - Operating margin improved to 40% from 37.7%, and profit margin increased to 27.8% from 26.5%, reflecting the advantages of the railroad business model [4][3]. Cost Structure - Major operating costs include labor, fuel, and rail network maintenance, with capital investments relatively low at 3.45billionin2024forinfrastructureupgrades[5][6].Totaloperatingexpensesdecreasedby33.45 billion in 2024 for infrastructure upgrades [5][6]. - Total operating expenses decreased by 3% to 14.54 billion, driven by a 14% reduction in fuel expenses [4][6]. Revenue Diversification - Union Pacific's freight revenue from coal and renewables fell by 23% in 2024, but growth in other categories helped offset this decline, with total freight revenue increasing by 1% to $22.81 billion [8][9]. - The company has diverse exposure to various end markets, which cushions impacts from category-specific downturns [7][8]. Future Outlook - Management predicts modest growth in industrial production and GDP for 2025, with expectations of slightly fewer U.S. housing starts and higher light vehicle sales [12][13]. - Union Pacific aims for a compound annual growth rate for earnings per share in the high single digits to low double digits from 2025 to 2027, alongside significant capital investments and stock buybacks [18][19]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - Union Pacific has a strong dividend history, having paid dividends for 125 consecutive years and raised payouts annually since 2008, with a 144% increase over the last decade [15][20]. - The company plans to maintain a payout ratio around 45%, indicating a sustainable dividend yield of 2.3% [20][21]. Valuation - Despite recent stock price increases, Union Pacific's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 22.9, with a forward P/E of 20.6, suggesting it remains a reasonable investment [16][21]. - The company is positioned to continue improving efficiency and growing earnings, making it an attractive option for income-oriented investors [21][22].