Toll Brothers(TOL) ZACKS·2025-01-29 23:50Stock Performance - Toll Brothers (TOL) closed at $135 79, reflecting a -1 33% decline from the previous trading day, underperforming the S&P 500's 0 47% loss, the Dow's 0 31% decline, and the Nasdaq's 0 51% drop [1] - Over the past month, Toll Brothers' shares gained 9 27%, outperforming the Construction sector's 0 6% gain and the S&P 500's 1 67% gain [1] Earnings and Revenue Projections - Toll Brothers' upcoming EPS is projected at $1 99, a 11 56% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue for the upcoming quarter is anticipated at $1 9 billion, a 2 56% decrease year-over-year [2] - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $14 15 per share, a -5 73% change, and revenue of $10 99 billion, a +1 29% change from last year [3] Analyst Estimates and Revisions - Recent changes to analyst estimates reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability [4] - Estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum [5] - Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate for Toll Brothers fell by 0 7% [6] Valuation Metrics - Toll Brothers has a Forward P/E ratio of 9 73, higher than the industry average of 8 34 [7] - The company's PEG ratio is 1 19, above the industry average of 0 98, indicating a premium valuation relative to earnings growth expectations [7] Industry Overview - The Building Products - Home Builders industry, part of the Construction sector, ranks 218 out of over 250 industries, placing it in the bottom 14% [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank shows that the top 50% of industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8] Zacks Rank - Toll Brothers currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) have historically produced an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6]