What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Molina (MOH) Q4 Earnings

Core Viewpoint - Molina (MOH) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $5.81 per share, a 32.7$10.5 billion, reflecting a 16.1% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [2]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- Premium tax revenue' to be $617.30 million, marking an 11.8$9.85 billion, indicating a 17.8% year-over-year increase [4]. - 'Revenue- Investment income' is expected to reach $108.16 million, reflecting a decrease of 5.1$20.28 million, showing a 1.4% increase from the previous year [4]. Membership and MCR Metrics - 'MCR - Total' is expected to be 88.7%, down from 89.1% in the same quarter last year [5]. - 'MCR - Medicare' is projected at 90.2%, compared to 93.3% a year ago [5]. - 'MCR - Marketplace' is estimated at 78.2%, down from 79.8% year-over-year [5]. - 'Ending Membership by Program - Total' is forecasted to reach 5.71 million, up from 5 million in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Ending Membership by Program - Medicaid' is expected to be 5.03 million, compared to 4.54 million a year ago [6]. - 'Ending Membership by Program - Medicare' is projected at 248.3 thousand, up from 172 thousand in the previous year [7]. - 'Ending Membership by Program - Marketplaces' is estimated at 429.26 thousand, compared to 281 thousand a year ago [7]. - The consensus estimate for 'MCR - Medicaid' stands at 89.2%, unchanged from the previous year [7]. Stock Performance - Molina shares have increased by 9.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which moved up by 1% [8]. - With a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), Molina is expected to underperform the overall market in the near future [8].