3 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks to Buy, Even if There's a Stock Market Sell-Off in 2025

Core Insights - Investors' willingness to pay premium prices for stocks is influenced by their optimism about future earnings growth, while pessimism leads to a preference for companies valued based on current performance [1] - Dividend-paying value stocks provide benefits during market sell-offs, as dividends help mitigate the pressure of selling stocks at lower prices [2] Group 1: Union Pacific (UNP) - Union Pacific's stock rose over 5% following strong fourth-quarter and full-year earnings, with a 1% year-over-year revenue increase and a 7% growth in operating income due to lower operating costs [4] - The company aims for a high single to low double-digit compound annual growth rate in earnings per share (EPS) while maintaining a 45% payout ratio and repurchasing $4 billion to$5 billion in stock annually [5] - Union Pacific has reduced its share count by over 12% in five years, contributing to decent EPS growth despite sluggish net income growth [6] - The company achieved 40.1% operating margins in 2024, highlighting the profitability of the railroad business model, which benefits from established networks and lower incremental costs [8] - With a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.4, Union Pacific is positioned as a high-quality dividend stock at a favorable value [9] Group 2: Watsco (WSO) - Watsco has delivered a 341% return over the last decade, with nearly 500% total return when dividends are reinvested, showcasing the strength of its business model [10] - The demand for air conditioning and heating parts remains stable even during economic downturns, as these repairs are often necessary rather than discretionary [11] - Watsco's strategy includes acquiring smaller distributors to expand its scale and geographic reach, enhancing its inventory and technological ecosystem [12] - The company offers a 2.2% dividend yield, making it an attractive option during market weakness [13] Group 3: NextEra Energy (NEE) - NextEra Energy provides a high-yield dividend of 2.8% and has a strong history of dividend increases, making it a solid choice for passive income during market downturns [14] - The company has raised its dividend at a compound annual growth rate of about 10% from 2003 to 2023, with expectations for a 10% increase in 2025 and 2026 [15] - NextEra Energy generates significant cash flow from its regulated operations, with Florida Power and Light Company accounting for 64% and 73% of cash from operations in 2024 and 2023, respectively [16] - The stability of NextEra Energy's cash flows allows for reliable planning for future dividend increases and infrastructure upgrades [16] - The stock provides steady passive income, offering investors a sense of security during market fluctuations [17]