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Mobileye Gains Analyst Upgrade On 2025 Catalysts, But Profit Delays And Competition Keep Rating Neutral
MBLYMobileye (MBLY) Benzinga·2025-02-10 18:23

Group 1 - Mobileye Global Inc's stock increased by 16.4% to 18.70afterBofASecuritiesanalystJohnP.BabcockupgradedthestockfromUnderperformtoNeutralandraisedthepricetargetfrom18.70 after BofA Securities analyst John P. Babcock upgraded the stock from Underperform to Neutral and raised the price target from 12 to 19[1][7]Babcockscautiousstancewasinfluencedbytheuncertaintyregardinggrowthandprofitoutlook,with2025guidancefallingbelowBofAandconsensusestimates,althoughthislimitsdownsiderisk[1][6]Theanalystsdiscussionswithinvestorsindicatethatsentimentmaybebottoming,withpotentialcontractwinsin2025servingascatalystsforgrowth[2][5]Group2BabcocksvaluationanalysissuggeststhatBase/CloudEnhancedADASvolumeswillremainsteadythrough2040,withexpectationsforADASproductstopenetrateagrowingportionoftheautomarket[3][4]ThedeploymentofadvancedAVproductsisanticipatedtodriveagradualshiftinmarketshare,withsignificantcontractwinsexpectedin2025[5][6]Projectedsalesforfiscalyearsare19 [1][7] - Babcock's cautious stance was influenced by the uncertainty regarding growth and profit outlook, with 2025 guidance falling below BofA and consensus estimates, although this limits downside risk [1][6] - The analyst's discussions with investors indicate that sentiment may be bottoming, with potential contract wins in 2025 serving as catalysts for growth [2][5] Group 2 - Babcock's valuation analysis suggests that Base/Cloud-Enhanced ADAS volumes will remain steady through 2040, with expectations for ADAS products to penetrate a growing portion of the auto market [3][4] - The deployment of advanced AV products is anticipated to drive a gradual shift in market share, with significant contract wins expected in 2025 [5][6] - Projected sales for fiscal years are 1.73 billion in 2025, 1.81billionin2026,and1.81 billion in 2026, and 2.07 billion in 2027, indicating a moderate improvement in adjusted operating income [6][7]