BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) ZACKS·2025-02-20 16:06Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for BlackRock TCP despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates to influence stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BlackRock TCP is expected to report earnings of 65.59 million, a 29% increase from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for release on February 27, 2025, and could lead to stock price movement depending on whether results exceed or fall short of expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.78% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for BlackRock TCP is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.56%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong indicator of an earnings beat [7][8]. - BlackRock TCP's current Zacks Rank is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, BlackRock TCP was expected to earn 0.36, resulting in a -10% surprise [12]. - The company has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13]. Industry Comparison - Carlyle Secured Lending, another player in the Zacks Financial - SBIC & Commercial Industry, is expected to report earnings of 36.31 million, down 18.1% [17]. - Carlyle Secured Lending has an Earnings ESP of 0.57% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a higher likelihood of beating consensus EPS estimates [18].