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Cameco Stock Dips 7% Despite Posting Q4 Earning Beat: How to Play It?
CCJCameco(CCJ) ZACKS·2025-02-24 19:45

Core Viewpoint - Cameco's recent fourth-quarter and 2024 results showed strong revenue growth, but the stock has declined due to concerns over annual earnings and specific operational challenges [1][2][32]. Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter revenues increased by 36.5% year over year to 846million(CAD1,183million),surpassingtheZacksConsensusEstimateof846 million (CAD 1,183 million), surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 753 million [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter were 26 cents (CAD 0.36), beating the consensus estimate of 23 cents [8]. - For 2024, revenues rose 21% year over year to 2.2billion(CAD3.14billion),exceedingtheZacksConsensusEstimateof2.2 billion (CAD 3.14 billion), exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 2.15 billion [11]. - Adjusted EPS for 2024 was 47 cents (CAD 0.67), down 24% year over year but above the consensus estimate of 42 cents [12]. Production and Sales - In Q4, Cameco produced 6.1 million pounds of uranium, a 7% increase from the previous year, and sold 12.8 million pounds, a 30% increase [9]. - The average realized uranium price rose 12% year over year to 58.45perpound,contributingtoa4858.45 per pound, contributing to a 48% increase in uranium revenues [9]. - For 2024, uranium sales volume grew by 5% and prices increased by 17%, leading to a 24% increase in uranium segment revenues [11]. Operational Challenges - Production from the Inkai joint venture was 7.8 million pounds, with Cameco's share being 3.6 million pounds, which was 0.6 million pounds lower than in 2023 due to supply-chain issues [16]. - The new Mineral Extraction Tax (MET) in Kazakhstan will increase from 6% to 9% in 2025, impacting future production costs [17]. Dividend and Financial Strategy - Cameco increased its annual dividend by 33% to 16 cents per share and plans to implement a growth plan to reach 24 cents per share by 2026 [19]. - The company ended 2024 with C600 million (422million)incashandC422 million) in cash and C1.3 billion ($0.91 billion) in long-term debt, indicating a solid balance sheet for future investments [20]. Market Position and Outlook - Cameco's return on equity stands at 5.6%, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.7% [25]. - The stock is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.71, above the industry average of 1.00, suggesting a premium valuation [26]. - The global focus on nuclear energy due to geopolitical events and climate concerns positions Cameco favorably to capitalize on rising low-carbon energy demand [28].