Gear Up for Papa John's (PZZA) Q4 Earnings: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast a significant decline in Papa John's quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating potential challenges for the company in the upcoming financial report [1]. Financial Performance Estimates - Expected earnings per share (EPS) for the upcoming quarter is $0.48, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 47.3$513 million, which represents a decline of 10.2% compared to the same quarter last year [1]. - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.8% [2]. Revenue Breakdown - North America franchise royalties and fees are estimated to be $34.65 million, down 10.5$34.25 million, indicating a significant decline of 28.9% year-over-year [5]. - Other revenues are expected to reach $59.87 million, reflecting a decrease of 4.9$211.15 million, down 7.4% year-over-year [6]. Comparable Sales and Restaurant Metrics - Comparable sales growth for system-wide North America restaurants is estimated at -3.6%, a stark contrast to the previous year's growth of 11.2% [7]. - The number of system-wide restaurants is expected to reach 6,004, up from 5,906 in the same quarter last year [7]. - The number of franchised North America restaurants is projected at 2,967, compared to 2,902 a year ago [7]. - Total North America restaurants are estimated to be 3,496, slightly up from 3,433 year-over-year [8]. - International franchised restaurants are expected to reach 2,493, an increase from 2,356 in the same quarter last year [8]. - The number of international restaurants is projected at 2,501, compared to 2,473 in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Papa John's shares have increased by 23.6% over the past month, contrasting with a -1.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [10]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to closely follow the overall market in the near term [10].