Turning Point Brands(US:TPB) ZACKS·2025-02-27 16:06Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Turning Point Brands (TPB) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $0.57 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 27.9%, with revenues projected at $93.4 million, down 3.8% from the previous year [3]. - A positive stock movement is likely if the earnings exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.21% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict earnings deviation from consensus, with positive readings being more reliable [6][7]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have shown a nearly 70% success rate in beating earnings expectations [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Turning Point Brands had an earnings surprise of +1.49%, beating the expected earnings of $0.67 per share with actual earnings of $0.68 [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [13]. Conclusion - Turning Point Brands does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered for investment decisions [16].