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Nebius Shares Rise 61% Year to Date: Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock?
NBISNebius Group N.V.(NBIS) ZACKS·2025-02-27 19:05

Core Viewpoint - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) has experienced significant stock performance, with shares rising over 60.7% year to date, contrasting with declines in the broader technology sector and the internet software industry [1] Financial Performance - Despite the year-to-date surge, NBIS shares have declined 3.8% since February 20, attributed to lower Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of 90millionintheDecemberquarterasthecompanyfocusedonsalesandmarketingteamdevelopmentandcustomertransitionstoanewAIplatform[2]Revenuesforthereportedquarterreached90 million in the December quarter as the company focused on sales and marketing team development and customer transitions to a new AI platform [2] - Revenues for the reported quarter reached 37.9 million, marking a 466% year-over-year increase, driven by a 602% year-over-year growth in the core AI infrastructure business [3] - For the March quarter, the company anticipates an ARR of at least 220million,withfullyear2025ARRexpectedtorangebetween220 million, with full-year 2025 ARR expected to range between 750 million and 1billion[3]LiquidityandFinancialHealthThecompanyhasastrongliquidityposition,havingraised1 billion [3] Liquidity and Financial Health - The company has a strong liquidity position, having raised 700 million in a private placement with notable investors, including NVIDIA, Accel, and Orbis, in December 2024 [6] - At the end of the fourth quarter of 2024, NBIS reported 2.4billionincash,indicatingarobustbalancesheet[6]MarketPositionandOfferingsNebiusoffersanAIcentriccloudplatformdesignedforintensiveAIandmachinelearningworkloads,alongsideotherproductslikeToloka,TripleTen,andAvride[9]ThecompanylauncheditsfirstU.S.NVIDIAGPUclusterinKansasCity,withaninitialcapacityof5MW,settogolivebytheendofthefirstquarterof2025[10]AGPUclusterinParisfeaturingNVIDIAH200TensorCoreGPUsbeganoperationsinthereportedquarter,withplanstodeployover22,000NVIDIABlackwellGPUsintheU.S.andFinlandin2025[11]GrowthPotentialTheTotalAddressableMarket(TAM)forGPUasaserviceandAIcloudisprojectedtogrowataCAGRofover352.4 billion in cash, indicating a robust balance sheet [6] Market Position and Offerings - Nebius offers an AI-centric cloud platform designed for intensive AI and machine learning workloads, alongside other products like Toloka, TripleTen, and Avride [9] - The company launched its first U.S. NVIDIA GPU cluster in Kansas City, with an initial capacity of 5MW, set to go live by the end of the first quarter of 2025 [10] - A GPU cluster in Paris featuring NVIDIA H200 Tensor Core GPUs began operations in the reported quarter, with plans to deploy over 22,000 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs in the U.S. and Finland in 2025 [11] Growth Potential - The Total Addressable Market (TAM) for GPU-as-a-service and AI cloud is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 35% from 2023 to 2030, with AI technologies expected to reach 800 billion by 2030 [13] - Nebius' other three business segments have a combined TAM of approximately 150billion[13]EarningsEstimatesTheZacksConsensusEstimateforfirstquarter2025lossissetat35centspershare,withrevenuesexpectedtodeclineby96.88150 billion [13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2025 loss is set at 35 cents per share, with revenues expected to decline by 96.88% year-over-year to 77.5 million [14]