What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Victoria's Secret (VSCO) Q4 Earnings

Core Viewpoint - Victoria's Secret (VSCO) is expected to report a decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, with earnings per share projected at $2.30, down 10.9$2.08 billion, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.1% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 1.9%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts of their initial forecasts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Geographic Net Sales- Direct' to reach $775.43 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.6% [5]. - The projected number of 'Total stores - Company-Operated' is 806, down from 831 in the same quarter last year [5]. - The average prediction for 'Total stores - China Joint Venture' is 69, slightly down from 70 reported in the same quarter of the previous year [6]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Victoria's Secret shares have declined by 26.9%, contrasting with a 2.4% decrease in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [6]. - Based on its Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), VSCO is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near term [6].