1 Wall Street Analyst Thinks Home Depot Stock Is Going to $445. Is It a Buy?

Core Viewpoint - Wells Fargo analyst has lowered Home Depot's price target from $450 to$445 while maintaining an overweight rating, indicating a potential recovery in the housing-improvement market [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Home Depot's comparable sales increased by 0.8% in the fourth quarter, with comparable transactions up 0.6% and average ticket price up 0.2% [3] - Management expects 1% comparable sales growth for 2025, aligning with the outlook from rival Lowe's, which reported a 0.2% increase in comparable sales for its fourth quarter [2][3] Group 2: Market Outlook - The market is looking for a turning point that could lead to sustained growth, despite current sales figures being modest [4] - The housing recovery is anticipated to occur eventually, potentially aided by easier comparisons with previous years [4] Group 3: Investment Considerations - The thesis of "buying the housing recovery" is acknowledged, but Home Depot's valuation at 26 times estimated 2025 earnings raises questions about its risk-reward profile [5] - Home Depot may be a lower-risk investment option, but other housing-related stocks offer lower valuations and potentially higher upside for bullish investors [6]