Target Beats on Q4 Earnings, Issues Cautious View on Tariff Concerns

Core Insights - Target Corporation reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 results that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for both revenue and earnings, with notable growth in beauty, apparel, entertainment, sporting goods, and toys [1] - The company issued a cautious outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, anticipating significant year-over-year profit pressure due to consumer uncertainty, a slight decline in February net sales, tariff concerns, and the timing of certain expenses [2] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were reported at $2.41 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 but down from $2.98 in the same period last year [4] - Total revenues reached $30,915 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $30,766 million, but reflecting a 3.1% decline year-over-year; merchandise sales also fell by 3.3% to $30,428 million [5] - Comparable sales increased by 1.5% in the fourth quarter, following a 0.3% increase in the previous quarter, with a decline of 0.5% in comparable store sales but an increase of 8.7% in comparable digital sales [6] Margin Analysis - Gross margin contracted by 40 basis points to 26.2%, attributed to higher digital fulfillment and supply-chain costs, as well as increased promotional markdowns; operating margin decreased to 4.7% from 5.8% year-over-year [7] Financial Health - At the end of the quarter, Target had cash and cash equivalents of $4,762 million, long-term debt of $14,304 million, and shareholders' equity of $14,666 million; dividends paid during the quarter totaled $513 million [8] - The company repurchased 3.7 million shares worth $506 million during the quarter, with approximately $8.7 billion remaining under the repurchase program approved in August 2021 [9] Future Outlook - For fiscal year 2025, Target expects net sales growth of around 1%, driven by flat comparable sales, and anticipates a slight improvement in operating margin compared to fiscal year 2024; GAAP and adjusted earnings per share are projected to be between $8.80 and $9.80 [10]