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Is Ford Stock a Buy Now?
FFord Motor(F) The Motley Fool·2025-03-21 12:45

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 has experienced a recent dip, but its trailing-12-month total return remains positive at 12.4%. In contrast, Ford Motor Company's stock has declined significantly, losing 11.5% over the past year, despite a high dividend yield of 6.03% [1][3][12]. Group 1: Investment Potential - Ford is a consistently profitable company, allocating excess earnings towards dividends, with 3.1billionpaidindividendsin2024[3].Thestockspricetoearningsratiois6.8,approximately303.1 billion paid in dividends in 2024 [3]. - The stock's price-to-earnings ratio is 6.8, approximately 30% lower than its trailing-three-year average, indicating potential upside if market sentiment improves [6]. - Ford's commercial vehicle segment, Pro, has shown strong performance, with a 15% revenue growth in 2024 and a solid 13.5% operating margin [5]. Group 2: Growth Challenges - The global auto industry is mature, with only a 2.5% increase in unit sales in 2024 compared to 2023, leading to limited growth prospects for Ford [7]. - Ford's revenue growth has been modest, increasing by 28% from 2014 to 2024, with a projected compound annual growth rate of only 0.3% over the next three years [8]. - The company is capital-intensive, spending 158 billion on cost of sales in 2024, which includes materials and labor, alongside high warranty costs [9]. Group 3: Profitability Concerns - Ford's operating margin and return on invested capital have averaged only 2% and 2.3% over the past decade, with no expected improvement due to the competitive and cyclical nature of the auto industry [10]. - The combination of low growth and high capital expenditure creates significant headwinds for Ford in establishing a durable economic moat [10].