HCI(US:HCI) ZACKS·2025-03-21 21:45Core Viewpoint - HCI Group has shown strong stock performance recently, significantly outperforming the broader market and its industry, raising questions about its future direction [2][16]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - HCI Group is expected to report earnings of $4.49 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +23% and a 30-day change in the Zacks Consensus Estimate of +11.4% [5]. - For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $14.98, indicating a substantial year-over-year change of +102.2%, with a 30-day change of +11% [5]. - The next fiscal year's consensus earnings estimate is $13.70, showing a decrease of -8.6% from the previous year, but has seen a 30-day increase of +14.2% [6]. - HCI Group has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on recent earnings estimate revisions [7]. Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $210.17 million, representing a year-over-year change of +1.7% [9]. - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $881.26 million, indicating a growth of +17.5%, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $930.68 million reflects a growth of +5.6% [9]. Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, HCI Group generated revenues of $161.88 million, a slight decline of -0.5% year-over-year, with an EPS of $0.31 compared to $3.22 a year ago [10]. - The reported revenues were below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $163.88 million, resulting in a revenue surprise of -1.22%, while the EPS surprise was +111.27% [11]. - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters and has topped revenue estimates twice during this period [11]. Valuation - HCI Group is graded A in the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a discount compared to its peers [15].