3 Reasons to Buy Wingstop Stock Like There's No Tomorrow

Core Viewpoint - Wingstop's stock has declined 52% from its peak due to weakening consumer sentiment, disappointing 2025 guidance, and missed top-line estimates, but it presents an attractive buying opportunity after the price reset [2][4]. Group 1: Growth Track Record - Wingstop has achieved 20 consecutive years of same-store sales growth, a record that includes challenging periods like the financial crisis and the pandemic [4]. - The company reported 10.1% domestic same-store sales growth in Q4 and 19.9% for the full year, with a two-year comparable sales growth exceeding 40% [4][5]. - Wingstop's ability to grow same-store sales while opening new locations indicates strong brand resonance and minimal cannibalization [5]. Group 2: 2025 Guidance - The stock fell 13% following the Q4 earnings report, which missed top-line estimates and provided conservative guidance for 2025 [7][8]. - Management anticipates low-to-mid-single-digit same-store sales growth in 2025, a significant decrease from 19.9% in 2024, attributed to strong growth comparisons [8][9]. - Historically, Wingstop has provided conservative guidance, often exceeding initial forecasts, as seen in its Q4 2023 guidance [9][10]. Group 3: Growth Potential - Wingstop is expanding rapidly in domestic and international markets, leveraging its franchise model to open stores in new and small-footprint locations [11]. - The company opened 349 net new restaurants in 2024, totaling 2,563 locations, with plans for 14%-15% growth in 2025 [12]. - Wingstop aims for 7,000 global locations, tripling its current footprint, with potential for further increases if demand remains strong [13]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Opportunity - Following the recent stock pullback, Wingstop's valuation appears more reasonable, trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56, which aligns with its growth potential [14]. - Despite potential market headwinds in 2025, Wingstop could outperform if it exceeds its same-store sales guidance, positioning itself for long-term growth [14].