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Prediction: Oracle Stock Could Surge by 200% in the Next 5 Years
ORCLOracle(ORCL) The Motley Fool·2025-03-23 19:52

Core Viewpoint - Oracle has shown strong performance over the past five years but is currently facing challenges, with a 7% drop in shares in 2025, despite a significant long-term growth potential in the cloud infrastructure market [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Oracle reported an 8% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 4% rise in adjusted earnings, which fell short of Wall Street expectations [4]. - The company's remaining performance obligations (RPO) increased by 62% year-over-year to 130billion,indicatingstrongfuturerevenuepotential[6].Oraclesmanagementexpectsrevenuegrowthtoaccelerateto15130 billion, indicating strong future revenue potential [6]. - Oracle's management expects revenue growth to accelerate to 15% in the next fiscal year and 20% in fiscal 2027, with projected revenue of 66 billion for fiscal 2026 [10][11]. Market Opportunity - The demand for Oracle's cloud infrastructure, particularly for AI applications, is driving significant growth in its backlog, with 48billioninnewcontractsaddedlastquarter[7][9].GoldmanSachsestimatesthatthecloudinfrastructureasaservice(IaaS)marketwillgenerate48 billion in new contracts added last quarter [7][9]. - Goldman Sachs estimates that the cloud infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) market will generate 580 billion in annual revenue by 2030, presenting a substantial opportunity for Oracle [8]. Capacity and Growth Projections - Oracle plans to double its data center capacity in the current fiscal year and triple it by the end of the next fiscal year, which is expected to support revenue growth [12][13]. - Assuming a 25% annual earnings growth rate, Oracle's earnings per share could reach $18.31 by fiscal 2030, with a potential stock price increase of 197% if the market values it at 25 times earnings [15][16].