Is FuboTV Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?

Core Viewpoint - The merger between FuboTV and Disney's Hulu + Live TV presents potential benefits for FuboTV, but the investment upside remains uncertain until regulatory approval is obtained [2][3][11]. Company Overview - FuboTV is a sports-centric live TV streaming company that announced a merger with Disney's Hulu + Live TV, which would result in Disney owning approximately 70% of the new entity while FuboTV remains public [2][3]. - The merger aims to resolve ongoing litigation between FuboTV and Disney regarding anti-competitive practices in the sports media landscape [3]. Financial Implications - FuboTV's stock has more than doubled to over $3 per share since the merger announcement, but the deal is not yet finalized, and its financial implications depend on regulatory approval [3][12]. - FuboTV's current business model struggles with profitability, as licensing costs account for about 80% of its revenue, leaving limited funds for other expenses [5]. - The merger would provide FuboTV with access to Disney's sports media assets, including ESPN, and allow for new carriage agreements that could lead to cheaper licensing rights [6]. Cash Position - FuboTV had approximately $161 million in cash at the end of 2024 and is set to receive $220 million plus a $145 million term loan in 2026 upon deal closure [7]. - If the merger does not close, FuboTV would still receive a $130 million termination fee, enhancing its financial stability in the short term [7][8]. Subscriber Dynamics - The combined entity would have 6.2 million subscribers, which could strengthen FuboTV's negotiating power with other media companies [6]. - However, FuboTV is projected to experience a 4% decline in subscribers in Q1 2025 due to losing licensing rights to TelevisaUnivision [10]. Market Position - The merger's approval is uncertain, with concerns raised about anti-competitive practices due to Disney's significant ownership stake [9]. - Without Disney's backing, FuboTV may struggle to compete against larger players like Amazon and Netflix, which are also investing in live sports [12][13].