白酒板块2025年下半年业绩低基数下或迎弹性表现，必选消费ETF(512600)冲击3连涨

Group 1 - The white liquor sector is expected to show resilient performance in the second half of 2025 due to a low base effect, which may positively impact the essential consumer ETF (512600) [1][3] - As of March 26, 2025, the essential consumer ETF has seen a significant increase in scale, growing by 25.45 million yuan over the past two weeks, reaching a total of 754 million shares, a one-year high [3] - The essential consumer ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past week, with a peak single-day net inflow of 6.56 million yuan, totaling 25.72 million yuan [3] Group 2 - The essential consumer ETF tracks the CSI major consumer index, which includes leading A-share companies across various sectors, with white liquor being the largest sector, accounting for 45% of the index [4] - Current valuations in the white liquor sector are considered reasonably low, with potential for further recovery driven by ongoing consumer policies, low performance bases in the second half of 2025, and strong foreign investment appeal [3] - The upcoming Spring Sugar and Wine Fair is highlighted as an important indicator of the white liquor industry's health, with expectations for new product launches and strategic developments from manufacturers [3]