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Why BURL Could be an Undervalued Gem: Key Insights for Investors
Burlington StoresBurlington Stores(US:BURL) ZACKSยท2025-03-28 13:40

Core Viewpoint - Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) is currently undervalued compared to its industry peers, presenting an attractive investment opportunity due to its low price-to-sales multiple and strong value score [1][2][16]. Valuation and Performance - BURL is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.33, lower than the industry average of 1.70 and the sector average of 1.51 [1]. - The stock is currently 17.8% below its 52-week high of $298.89, reached on November 25, 2024, and has gained 5.8% over the past year, slightly underperforming the industry growth of 6.7% [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The implementation of the Burlington 2.0 strategy has improved the company's market adaptability by refining its product mix and enhancing customer engagement [8][9]. - Burlington's agile merchandising strategy has allowed it to respond effectively to market changes, providing a competitive edge in the off-price retail segment [9]. Expansion Plans - In fiscal 2024, Burlington added 101 net new stores, exceeding its target of 100, and plans to continue this aggressive expansion with at least 100 net new stores in fiscal 2025 and 2026 [10][11]. - The company has capitalized on real estate opportunities from the closure of other retailers, enhancing its market presence [11]. Financial Outlook - For fiscal 2025, Burlington expects total sales growth of 6-8% and a comparable sales increase of 0-2%, with an anticipated improvement in adjusted EBIT margin by 30 basis points year over year [12][13]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be between $8.70 and $9.30, up from $8.35 in the previous year [13]. Cost Considerations - Adjusted selling, general and administrative costs rose 4% year over year to $745.6 million in the fiscal fourth quarter, with expectations for a 7.6% increase in fiscal 2025 [14][15].