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Why Rocket Lab Stock Bounced Back on Friday

Core Insights - Rocket Lab has been added to "Lane 1" of Phase 3 of the National Security Space Launch program by the U.S. Space Force, which has positively impacted its stock price [1] - The contract under NSSL Phase 3 Lane 1 is valued at up to $5.6 billion if Rocket Lab secures all contracts over the five-year period ending June 2029 [2] - Rocket Lab will share the bidding opportunities with other companies, including Stoke Space, Blue Origin, United Launch Alliance, and SpaceX, with a minimum of 30 launches anticipated [3] Company Developments - Rocket Lab needs to obtain national security certification for its new Neutron rocket, requiring at least two successful launches before it can conduct launches under NSSL3(1) [3] - The first launch of the Neutron rocket is anticipated in the second half of this year, with a second launch expected in 2026 [4] - The company will receive $5 million upfront to assist in covering the costs associated with earning certification for the Neutron rocket [4] Financial Projections - The first revenue from the umbrella contract is expected to start arriving no sooner than mid-2026 [5] - If successful, this contract could help Rocket Lab achieve a revenue target of $895 million for 2026 and generate nearly $84 million in positive free cash flow [5]