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龙蟠科技(603906):出海+一体化布局 静候弹性兑现

Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 7.673 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 12.10%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -636 million yuan, improving by 48.46% compared to the previous year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.012 billion yuan, with a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter decline of 10.04% and 3.81% respectively, and a net profit of -333 million yuan [1] - The company shipped approximately 178,300 tons of lithium iron phosphate materials in 2024, a year-on-year increase of about 64.89%, with Q4 shipments of about 53,500 tons, showing a slight quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.5% [1] Group 2 - The traditional business segments, including lubricants and diesel engine exhaust treatment fluids, showed stable performance with slight declines in sales volume for lubricants and diesel fluids, while the cooling fluids and automotive maintenance products experienced minor growth [2] - The overall automotive environmental fine chemicals segment contributed 1.836 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year decrease of 2.73%, but achieved a gross margin of 30.25%, an increase of 3.38 percentage points [2] Group 3 - The company is advancing its overseas production capacity with a 30,000-ton lithium iron phosphate project in Indonesia, which is the first of its kind with a capacity exceeding 10,000 tons [3] - The company is extending upstream to secure raw material supply through strategic investments or self-built production bases, with a subsidiary contributing a profit of 60 million yuan in 2024, marking a turnaround from losses [3] - The company has launched differentiated products in the power and energy storage sectors, including a new fourth-generation high-pressure lithium iron phosphate material that significantly reduces manufacturing costs and improves production efficiency [3] Group 4 - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.607 billion, 11.555 billion, and 13.699 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026, with net profits of 307 million, 518 million, and 718 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 148.3%, 68.9%, and 38.6% respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to PE multiples of 23.2X, 13.7X, and 9.9X for 2025-2027 [4] - The company's overseas capacity construction is leading, and deep partnerships with major clients are expected to enhance capacity utilization and performance elasticity [4]