Benzinga·2025-04-02 19:02Core Viewpoint - Macro uncertainty has delayed the IPO timeline, but there is significant pent-up demand for equity issuance, with expectations for a reopening in the second half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The analyst forecasts a substantial runway for the electronification of fixed-income markets at Tradeweb Markets, capitalizing on political uncertainty in Washington [2] - BGC Group is expected to launch Treasury futures soon, with a projected market share in the $2 billion interest rate futures market surpassing 10% by 2027 [3] - Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty is anticipated to remain a key trading catalyst, despite expected normalization in volumes into the second half of 2025 [4] Group 2: Company Performance - Market structure stocks have seen an average increase of 8% in Q1 2025, with Nasdaq and Virtu Financial lagging behind but expected to achieve over 10% EPS beats [5] - Nasdaq-100 futures experienced a strong growth quarter, up 38% sequentially, contributing to indexing revenue [6] - Virtu Financial is expected to report solid results due to higher industry volumes in options, ETFs, and fixed income [7] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Tradeweb Markets remains dominant in portfolio trading and D2D trading, with impressive month-to-date volume increases of 18% and 11% respectively [8] - MarketAxess Holdings is rated as underperforming, with a price target adjustment, while Tradeweb Markets and other companies like BGC Group and Nasdaq maintain buy ratings with revised price targets [8][9] - Intercontinental Exchange is expected to face near-term cyclical headwinds in its mortgage and listing business, impacting its performance [9][10]