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Should You Hold on to TXN Stock Despite its 12% Dip in a Month?
TXNTI(TXN) ZACKS·2025-04-03 15:40

Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments (TXN) has experienced a 12.3% decline in share price over the past month, underperforming the semiconductor industry, technology sector, and S&P 500 index, which declined by 4.8%, 5%, and 2.1% respectively [1][3] Group 1: Reasons for Underperformance - The decline in TXN's stock is attributed to broader market weakness and company-specific concerns, including a sell-off in tech stocks due to fears of rising trade tensions and slowing economic growth [3] - Concerns regarding the U.S. government's stance toward China are significant, as approximately 20% of TXN's total revenues for 2024 are expected to come from the Chinese market, raising fears of sanctions and tariffs [4] - Investor apprehensions about softness in TXN's industrial, automotive, and enterprise systems end markets have also contributed to the stock's decline, with these markets accounting for about 70% of TXN's revenues and reporting a sequential decline in Q4 2024 [5] Group 2: Strategic Moves for Recovery - TXN is strategically building its inventory, currently at 4.5billion,tomeetcustomerdemandoncethemarketrebounds,avoidingsuddenproductionrampups[6]ThecompanyisinvestinginasecondfactorytoscaleupitsLehifacilityinUtah,enhancingproductioncapacityforAnalogandEmbeddedsemiconductorproducts[7]TXNhassecured4.5 billion, to meet customer demand once the market rebounds, avoiding sudden production ramp-ups [6] - The company is investing in a second factory to scale up its Lehi facility in Utah, enhancing production capacity for Analog and Embedded semiconductor products [7] - TXN has secured 1.6 billion in funding from the U.S. government under the CHIPS Act, which will support new 300mm wafer fabs in Texas and Utah, strengthening its position as a supplier of analog and embedded chips [8] Group 3: Partner Base and Growth Potential - TXN has established a strong partner base, including collaborations with Micron Technology, Apple Inc., and LeddarTech Holdings Inc., which aid in its growth in consumer and automotive markets [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TXN's 2025 revenues is projected at 17.1billion,indicatingayearoveryeargrowthof917.1 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9%, with earnings estimated at 5.35 per share, suggesting a 2.9% year-over-year increase [11] Group 4: Conclusion - Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment and market softness, TXN's business remains stable due to new production facilities, healthy inventory levels, and a robust partner base, suggesting that investors should consider holding the stock [12]