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Is BILL Stock Still Worth Holding Despite Plunging 50% Year to Date?
BILLBILL (BILL) ZACKS·2025-04-04 17:30

Core Viewpoint - BILL Holdings (BILL) has experienced a significant decline in share price, dropping 49.7% year-to-date, compared to declines of 10.4% in the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and 5.6% in the Zacks Internet - Software sector, primarily due to broader market weaknesses and regulatory concerns [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Market Position - The company is benefiting from increased platform adoption, AI-driven automation, expanded payment solutions, and partnerships that enhance its small and medium-sized business (SMB) ecosystem [2] - BILL is strengthening its position in the financial technology sector with an expanding portfolio, which has been crucial for its success [3] - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, BILL's platform was utilized by over 480,000 businesses, with nearly 85billioninpaymentvolumeprocessedacross30milliontransactions,indicatingstrongengagementandeffectivenessinstreamliningfinancialprocessesforSMBs[5]Group2:ProductEnhancementsandClientEngagementInDecember2024,BILLintroducednewfeatures,includingembedded1099functionality,whichsimplifiedtaxformfilingandincreasedtheplatformsappealtoSMBs,with585 billion in payment volume processed across 30 million transactions, indicating strong engagement and effectiveness in streamlining financial processes for SMBs [5] Group 2: Product Enhancements and Client Engagement - In December 2024, BILL introduced new features, including embedded 1099 functionality, which simplified tax form filing and increased the platform's appeal to SMBs, with 5% of customers completing nearly 200,000 1099 filings [4] - The company's partnerships with Regions Financial and Adyen have been key catalysts for expanding its SMB clientele, enhancing digital payment solutions and integrating advanced capabilities into its financial operations platform [6][7] Group 3: Financial Guidance and Earnings Estimates - For Q3 of fiscal 2025, BILL expects revenues between 352.5 million and 357.5million,reflectingayearoveryeargrowthof911357.5 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 9-11%, with non-GAAP earnings projected between 35 cents and 38 cents per share [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 revenues is 355.27 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9.98%, while the consensus for earnings is 38 cents per share, showing a year-over-year decline of 40% [9][10] - For fiscal 2025, revenues are expected to be between 1.45billionand1.45 billion and 1.47 billion, implying a 13-14% year-over-year growth, with non-GAAP earnings projected between 1.87and1.87 and 1.97 per share [8] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Despite expanding its SMB clientele, BILL faces stiff competition from accounting software providers like SAP and Intuit, which are enhancing their offerings in the SMB sector [11] - Intuit's recent launch of Tap to Pay on iPhone for QuickBooks Online customers highlights the competitive pressure on BILL, as it enables seamless, secure payments for SMBs [12]