【环球财经】一周前瞻：经济前景不确定性加剧，市场或迎“血雨腥风”

Market Overview - Global markets experienced a severe sell-off during the week of March 31 to April 5, with major stock indices and commodities facing significant declines, marking it as a "black week" [1] - The Nasdaq Composite fell over 10%, entering bear market territory, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 7.86%, and the S&P 500 fell 9.08% [1][4] - The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) surged over 88%, reaching its highest level since March 2020, indicating heightened market fear [1] U.S. Stock Market - The "Big Tech" companies collectively lost $1.4 trillion in market value, the largest single-week decline on record, with notable drops in Nvidia, Apple, Meta, and Amazon, all down over 10% [1] - The S&P 500 index is down 13.73% year-to-date, while the Nasdaq is down 19.28% [4] European Stock Market - The Eurozone STOXX 600 index fell 8.44% for the week, marking its largest decline since 2020, and is down nearly 11.9% from its March 3 high [2] - Major European indices such as Germany's DAX and France's CAC40 both dropped 8.1% [2][4] Asia-Pacific Stock Market - The Nikkei 225 index fell below 34,000 points, with a weekly decline of 9%, while the South Korean Composite Index dropped 3.62% [2] - The Indian SENSEX30 index saw a decline of 2.65% for the week [2][4] Commodity Market - International crude oil prices hit four-year lows, with WTI crude down 10.15% to $62.32 per barrel, and Brent crude down 9.21% to $66.06 per barrel [3] - Precious metals experienced widespread declines, with gold down 1.52% and silver down 13.26% for the week [2][4] Economic Outlook - The probability of a recession in the U.S. has increased, with estimates rising from 25% to 30-35% according to S&P Global [7] - Concerns over the impact of tariffs on trade and economic growth have led to a cautious outlook among investors, particularly regarding corporate earnings forecasts [11][12]