Core Viewpoint - The electric vehicle (EV) market is experiencing turbulence, particularly affecting Tesla, which has seen a 40% drop in shares this year. This situation may create opportunities for smaller EV manufacturers like Rivian, Nio, and Polestar to gain market share and investor interest [2]. Rivian - Rivian's vehicle deliveries surged by 147% to 50,122 in 2023 but are projected to rise only 3% to 51,759 in 2024 due to supply chain constraints and competition [3][4]. - For 2025, Rivian aims to deliver between 46,000 to 51,000 vehicles as it faces additional plant shutdowns and component shortages [4]. - Despite a challenging outlook, Rivian's gross margin improved from negative 188% in 2022 to negative 24% in 2024, with expectations of a modest gross profit in 2025 driven by lower manufacturing costs and higher-margin software sales [5]. - Rivian's enterprise value is 20,500, which resembles Tesla's Model Y, contributing to its market share growth [8]. - Nio's annual vehicle margin improved from 9.5% in 2023 to 12.3% in 2024, aided by a higher mix of premium vehicle sales [8]. - Nio has an enterprise value of 20,000, which may attract customers as Tesla's brand perception declines [12]. - Analysts project Polestar's revenue to more than double in 2025 with the launch of the Polestar 5 and expansion of manufacturing facilities [13]. - Polestar's enterprise value is $4.6 billion, trading at 1.0 times its projected sales for 2025, suggesting significant upside potential if operational issues are resolved [13].
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