M&T(MTB) ZACKS·2025-04-07 15:00Core Viewpoint - M&T Bank Corporation is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for M&T Bank's quarterly earnings is 2.35 billion, up 4% from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for April 14, and stock movement may depend on whether the actual results exceed or fall short of these expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.11%, indicating a slight bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for M&T Bank is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.73%, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [6][7]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically shown a nearly 70% chance of delivering a positive surprise [8]. Historical Performance - M&T Bank has beaten consensus EPS estimates in three out of the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +5.95% in the last reported quarter [12][13]. Industry Comparison - The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, another player in the banking sector, is expected to report earnings of 4.73 billion, up 4.5% [17]. - The Bank of New York Mellon has a positive Earnings ESP of 0.01% and has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the past four quarters [18].