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关税“避风港”?北大荒连续三个涨停,牧原股份绩后大涨!消费ETF(159928)探底回升成交爆量,盘中获巨额净申购2.36亿份!
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-09 03:11

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a rebound, with significant inflows into the consumer sector, particularly the Consumption ETF (159928), which has seen a notable increase in trading volume and net subscriptions [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Consumption ETF (159928) rose by 0.96% during trading, with a transaction volume exceeding 630 million yuan and a net subscription of 236 million units [1][3]. - Over the past five days, the ETF has attracted over 160 million yuan in net inflows, and in the last 60 days, it has accumulated nearly 1.3 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 2: Company Highlights - Major stocks within the Consumption ETF have shown positive performance, with North China Grain increasing by the daily limit for three consecutive days, and other companies like Haida Group and Huaxi Biological also seeing significant gains [3]. - Muyuan Foods announced an expected net profit of 4.5 to 5 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a significant turnaround from a loss of 245.9 million yuan in the same period last year, attributed to increased pig sales and lower costs [3]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The food and beverage sector is seen as a rigid support for domestic demand, with a consensus on the necessity to stimulate domestic consumption amid U.S. tariff impacts [3][4]. - Historical data from the 2018 trade friction indicates that the food and beverage sector demonstrated defensive characteristics, with lower declines compared to other sectors during market downturns [4]. - The current valuation of the food and beverage industry is approximately 22 times earnings, which is at a historical low compared to an average of 32 times in 2018 [4][6]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - Recommended investment strategies include focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential, stable companies with high dividend yields, and sectors with profit elasticity such as the restaurant supply chain [5]. - The top ten stocks in the Consumption ETF account for 67% of the index, with leading positions held by major liquor brands and pig farming companies [8].