2 Paper and Related Products Stocks to Keep an Eye on Despite Industry Challenges

Industry Overview - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry is facing subdued demand due to lower consumer spending and a decline in graphic paper demand driven by digitalization [1][4] - However, increasing packaging requirements from e-commerce and steady demand from consumer-oriented markets like food, beverages, and healthcare are expected to support the industry [1][5] - Environmental awareness is enhancing the appeal of paper as a sustainable packaging alternative, acting as a significant growth driver [1] Major Trends - The transition to digital media has negatively impacted the graphic paper market, leading to a shift in production focus towards packaging and specialty paper [4] - Rising costs for transportation, chemicals, and fuel are pressing concerns, prompting companies to focus on pricing actions, cost reduction, and automation to enhance productivity [4] - Despite current challenges, the industry's exposure to consumer-focused markets ensures stable earnings growth, with global e-commerce revenues projected to reach 4.3 trillion by 2025 [5] M&A Activities - Increased demand for sustainable packaging is driving M&A activities in the industry, exemplified by the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock to form Smurfit Westrock [6] - International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith aims to strengthen its corrugated packaging business and enhance sustainable packaging solutions [6][18] Industry Performance - The Zacks Paper and Related Products industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the Basic Materials sector over the past year, with a gain of 14.2% compared to a 15.7% decline in the sector [10] - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.49X, lower than the S&P 500's 12.88X and the Basic Materials sector's 7.01X [12] Company Highlights - Suzano inaugurated the world's largest single-line pulp mill, increasing its pulp production capacity by 24% to 13.5 million tons per year, leading to record sales of 12.3 million tons in 2024 [15][16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Suzano's 2025 earnings has increased by 26% in the past 90 days, indicating a year-over-year growth of around 304% [16] - International Paper's acquisition of DS Smith is expected to yield 600-$700 million in pre-tax cash synergies by 2027, with projected net sales of$26-$28 billion and adjusted EBITDA of$5.5-$6 billion by 2027 [18]