交银国际:3月前百开发商销售环比有所回弹 预计“银四”市场或将持续修复
智通财经网·2025-04-11 08:00

Group 1 - The sales total of the top 100 developers in March 2025 increased by 73.9% month-on-month to 344.5 billion RMB from 198.1 billion RMB in February 2025, indicating a significant recovery in sales [1] - The sales of 23 major listed developers tracked by the company also showed a notable recovery in March, with a month-on-month increase of 67.6%, and most developers experienced a narrowing of year-on-year declines [1] - Among the top ten developers in March, nine were state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and only one was a private enterprise (Longfor Group, ranked 10th), with SOEs' market share in contract sales increasing to 73.3% in the first three months of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The price index for new residential properties in 70 major cities showed a year-on-year decline of 5.2% in February 2025, a slight improvement from a 5.4% decline in January 2025, indicating a narrowing of price drops [2] - The government work report emphasized the goal of stabilizing the real estate market, indicating a shift in policy focus from short-term market rescue to long-term mechanism construction, which is expected to support market recovery [3] - The company anticipates that as home purchase thresholds lower and mortgage affordability improves, demand in the secondary market will continue to improve, while the primary real estate market remains stable [4] Group 3 - Buyers are expected to continue favoring state-owned projects, which are projected to perform better in sales during the first half of 2025 compared to private enterprise projects [4] - Leading private enterprises may accelerate their debt restructuring processes as market sentiment improves, indicating potential investment opportunities [4] - The company maintains a positive long-term outlook on China Resources Land (01109) and Yuexiu Property (00123), citing their strong sales performance and execution capabilities in recent years [4]