台海观澜｜假如台湾有事，为何日本冲绳要撤离12万人

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Taiwan's military exercises and Japan's evacuation plans in response to potential conflicts involving Taiwan, highlighting the strategic considerations of the U.S., Japan, and Taiwan in the context of regional security [1][3][4]. Group 1: Taiwan's Military Exercises - The Taiwanese military conducts annual Han Guang exercises, with this year's being the 41st iteration, consisting of three phases: a command simulation in February, a computer-assisted exercise in April, and a live drill in July [1]. - The current phase involves a 14-day computer simulation exercise using the Joint Theater Level Simulation (JTLS) platform, running continuously for 24 hours [1]. Group 2: Japan's Evacuation Plan - On March 27, the Japanese government announced a plan to evacuate approximately 120,000 residents and tourists from Okinawa within six days in the event of a Taiwan-related crisis, with a one-month timeframe for resettlement [3]. - The plan raises questions about the criteria for evacuation, such as the proximity of the evacuated individuals to sensitive military areas and the adequacy of a one-month period for disaster recovery or conflict resolution [3][4]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The article suggests that Japan's evacuation plan is primarily aimed at preparing for a potential crisis in Taiwan, indicating a strategic alignment with U.S. interests in the region [4]. - The concept of establishing an "air corridor" between Taiwan and Okinawa is proposed, which would serve as a route for U.S.-Japan intervention and the evacuation of pro-independence figures from Taiwan [4]. Group 4: Regional Reactions - The article notes that the Philippine military has indicated it would be drawn into a conflict if Taiwan were to face a crisis, suggesting a potential second air corridor between Taiwan and the Philippines [7][8]. - This regional dynamic highlights the interconnectedness of security concerns among Taiwan, Japan, and the Philippines in the context of U.S. strategic interests in the area [8].