1 Wall Street Analyst Thinks Dollar General Stock Is Going to $110. Is It a Buy?

Core Insights - Dollar General's focus on discounted essentials positions it as a strong defensive play for 2025, with a recent upgrade to a "buy" rating and a price target of $110, indicating a potential upside of 27$86.85 [1] Financial Performance - Dollar General reported a net sales increase of 4.5% year over year in the fourth quarter, with same-store sales rising by 1.2%, suggesting that the stock's decline over the past year may be exaggerated [2] - The company's fourth-quarter operating profit was halved to $294 million, impacted by store closures and an impairment charge for its pOpshelf business, highlighting the need for improved profitability [3] Strategic Focus - Management's back-to-basics strategy aims to enhance inventory efficiency and reduce costs, which is expected to support profitability improvements [3] - The impact of tariffs on foreign imports could benefit Dollar General, as higher prices for imported goods may drive consumers to seek value, aligning with the company's commitment to providing affordable options [4] Market Position - Dollar General's stock is trading at 15 times this year's earnings estimate and offers a forward dividend yield of 2.71%, indicating relatively good value [4] - The company's historical resilience through various economic cycles suggests it is well-positioned to navigate current challenges, with potential for stock price appreciation towards the analyst's target within the next year [5]