浙江龙盛(600352)：24年净利同比高增 地产业务兑现

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 15.88 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.03 billion yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 32% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 5.27 billion yuan in Q4 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 44% [1] - The net profit for Q4 2024 was 680 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50% [1] - The company proposed a final dividend of 0.25 yuan per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 72.1% [1] Group 2: Dye and Intermediate Business - The dye and intermediate business experienced high production capacity, with sales volumes increasing by 7.2% and 16.6% year-on-year, reaching 238,000 tons and 106,000 tons respectively [2] - Revenue from the dye and intermediate business grew by 0.9% and 4.6% year-on-year, totaling 7.59 billion yuan and 3.28 billion yuan respectively [2] - The gross margin for dyes improved by 3.8 percentage points to 31.7%, while the gross margin for intermediates decreased by 2.6 percentage points to 29.4% [2] Group 3: Real Estate Business - The real estate segment reported a revenue increase of 87.3% year-on-year, reaching 2.48 billion yuan, primarily due to project completions [3] - The overall gross margin for the company increased by 1.7 percentage points to 27.9% [3] - The company recorded non-recurring gains of 190 million yuan, a significant increase from the previous year [3] Group 4: Ongoing Projects and Industry Position - The company has a dye, additive, intermediate, and inorganic product production capacity of 300,000 tons, 100,000 tons, 119,500 tons, and 1.45 million tons respectively for 2024 [4] - The company has successfully launched several projects, including the residential project "Hua Xing New City," which has achieved over 90% sales rate [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 2.15 billion yuan, 2.36 billion yuan, and 2.47 billion yuan respectively [5] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.66 yuan, 0.72 yuan, and 0.76 yuan [5] - The target price for the company is set at 11.22 yuan, reflecting a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 17x for 2025 [5]