Wintrust (WTFC) Q1 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures

Core Insights - Wintrust Financial (WTFC) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.52 per share, a decline of 12.8% year-over-year, with revenues projected at $643.03 million, reflecting a 6.3% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts have not revised their initial projections [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Key Financial Metrics - Analysts estimate an 'Efficiency Ratio' of 57.6%, up from 55.2% a year ago [5] - The 'Net Interest Margin' is projected to be 3.5%, slightly down from 3.6% year-over-year [5] - 'Average balance - Total earning assets' is expected to reach $60.58 billion, compared to $52.27 billion last year [5] - The 'Tier 1 leverage ratio' is forecasted at 9.6%, up from 9.5% in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Total Non-Interest Income' is expected to be $127.46 million, down from $140.58 million a year ago [6] Income Estimates - 'Net interest income - FTE' is projected at $524.12 million, compared to $467 million last year [7] - 'Net Interest Income' is expected to reach $523.72 million, up from $464.19 million in the same quarter last year [7] - 'Service charges on deposit accounts' are estimated at $17.60 million, compared to $14.81 million a year ago [7] Additional Revenue Streams - 'Wealth management' is projected to reach $39.13 million, up from $34.82 million last year [8] - 'Mortgage banking' is expected to be $21.37 million, down from $27.66 million a year ago [8] - 'Operating lease income, net' is projected at $15.28 million, compared to $14.11 million last year [8] - 'Fees from covered call and put options' are expected to be $2.00 million, down from $4.85 million a year ago [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Wintrust shares have declined by 10.2%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has decreased by 3.9% [9] - Wintrust holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a potential to outperform the overall market in the upcoming period [10]