Archer Aviation (US:ACHR) The Motley Fool·2025-04-16 01:56Core Viewpoint - Archer Aviation is positioned to potentially take off in the eVTOL market, with recent developments indicating a recovery in its stock price and business momentum after a challenging period since its SPAC merger in 2021 [1][2]. Company Overview - Archer Aviation specializes in electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, aiming to disrupt the traditional helicopter industry with its flagship model, the Midnight, which can carry one pilot and four passengers, travel up to 100 miles on a single charge, and reach speeds of 150 miles per hour [4]. - The company plans to launch its own air taxi service, targeting a pricing model similar to Uber's premium services within the next two years [5]. Recent Developments - Archer's stock has rebounded to approximately $7 after hitting a low of $1.63 in December 2022, driven by the delivery of its first aircraft, new contracts, and a favorable shift towards speculative growth stocks as interest rates declined [2]. - Significant contracts include an order from United Airlines for 200 Midnight aircraft in 2021, a partnership with Stellantis for exclusive manufacturing, and contracts from the U.S. Department of Defense worth up to $142 million [6]. - In 2024, Archer received orders for 116 and 100 aircraft from Future Flight Global and Soracle, respectively, and plans to launch its first air taxi service in Abu Dhabi by the end of this year [7]. Financial Performance - Archer delivered its first Midnight aircraft to the U.S. Air Force for evaluation in August 2023, which did not generate direct revenue, resulting in zero revenue for 2024 and a net loss of $537 million [9]. - Analysts project Archer will generate $29 million in revenue by the end of 2024, with a narrowed net loss of $467 million [10]. - The company has an ambitious production roadmap, aiming for 10 aircraft in 2025, 48 in 2026, 252 in 2027, and 650 in 2028, with expected revenue of $471 million in 2027 despite a projected net loss of $483 million [11]. Market Valuation - Archer's market capitalization stands at $3.81 billion, trading at 8 times its estimated sales for 2027, which is comparatively lower than its competitor Joby Aviation, trading at 25 times its estimated revenue [12]. - Insider buying at Archer has significantly outpaced selling, indicating confidence in the company's future, contrasting with Joby's insider activity [13]. Strategic Considerations - Archer faces near-term valuation pressures due to concerns over tariffs and trade wars, which could impact aircraft procurement and production [14]. - Recent developments, including a pause on tariffs by the Trump administration, may present a favorable buying opportunity for investors ahead of Archer's next earnings report on May 8 [15].