MSCI (MSCI) Q1 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that MSCI will report quarterly earnings of $3.85 per share, reflecting a 9.4% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach$ 739.29 million, an 8.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.2% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Operating Revenues- ESG and Climate' at $84.52 million, an increase of 8.5% year-over-year [5]. - 'Operating Revenues- Asset-based fees - Total' is forecasted to reach$ 171.67 million, suggesting a 14.3% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Operating Revenues- Analytics' is expected to be $171.80 million, indicating a 4.8% increase from the prior-year quarter [5]. Asset Management Metrics - 'Operating Revenues- All Other - Private Assets' is projected to be$ 68.67 million, reflecting a 6.9% year-over-year increase [6]. - Analysts expect 'Period-End AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity indexes' to reach $1.80 billion, up from$ 1.58 billion in the same quarter last year [6]. Subscription Metrics - The average prediction for 'Index Run Rate - Recurring subscriptions' is $948.34 million, compared to$ 869.93 million in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Total Run Rate - Total recurring subscriptions' is expected to be $2.27 billion, up from$ 2.11 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. Retention Rates - The projected 'Total Retention Rate' is 93.6%, an increase from 92.8% year-over-year [8]. - The 'Index Retention Rate' consensus stands at 94.5%, compared to 93.2% in the same quarter last year [10]. Additional Metrics - 'Period Average AUM in ETFs linked to MSCI equity Indexes' is expected to be $1.78 billion, up from$ 1.51 billion in the same quarter last year [9]. - The 'ESG and Climate Run Rate' is projected to reach $349.12 million, compared to$ 320.61 million in the same quarter last year [9]. Market Performance - Over the past month, MSCI shares have returned -2.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed by -4.2% [11].