Ahead of Elevance Health (ELV) Q1 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast Elevance Health (ELV) to report quarterly earnings of $11.09 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.2$45.93 billion, an increase of 8.7% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 1.5% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts expect 'Revenues- Premiums' to be $38.66 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +8.3$2.13 billion, reflecting a change of +2.6% from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenues- Net investment income' is expected to be $461.32 million, showing a year-over-year change of -0.8$5.11 billion, indicating a change of +13.6% from the prior year [5]. Membership Metrics - Total Medical Membership is forecasted to be 46.24 million, consistent with the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Medical Membership - Medicare - Medicare Advantage' is expected to reach 2.21 million, up from 2.02 million in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Medical Membership - Medicaid' is estimated at 8.89 million, down from 9.33 million in the previous year [7]. - 'Medical Membership - Federal Employees Health Benefits' is projected to remain at 1.66 million, unchanged from the year-ago figure [7]. - The consensus for 'Medical Membership - Total Medicare' stands at 3.08 million, up from 2.91 million last year [8]. - 'Medical Membership - Commercial Risk-Based - Individual' is expected to reach 1.42 million, compared to 1.25 million in the same quarter last year [8]. Expense Ratios - The 'Benefit Expense Ratio' is projected to be 87.3%, up from 85.6% in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Medical Membership - Commercial Fee-Based' is expected to be 27.44 million, slightly down from 27.45 million in the previous year [9]. Stock Performance - Elevance Health shares have increased by +0.4% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of -4.2% [9].