Core Viewpoint - ChargePoint, a leading electric vehicle (EV) charging station builder, is currently undervalued and may present a contrarian investment opportunity despite its recent struggles and stock price decline [1][4]. Company Overview - ChargePoint operates in the EV charging sector, providing charging stations for residential and commercial customers, managing 342,000 charging ports by the end of fiscal 2025, including over 33,000 DC fast chargers [5][6]. - The company’s business model differs from Tesla's, focusing on selling connected charging stations and providing network access, billing, and customer support, rather than standalone charging stalls [6][7]. Financial Performance - ChargePoint experienced significant revenue growth in fiscal years 2022 and 2023, but revenue declined in fiscal 2025, with a total revenue of $417 million, down 18% year-over-year [9]. - Adjusted gross margins improved to 26% in fiscal 2025, despite the overall revenue decline, while operating and net losses narrowed compared to previous years [10]. - The company reported a net loss of $283 million in fiscal 2025, with adjusted EBITDA improving to a loss of $117 million [9][10]. Market Conditions - The EV market faced challenges in fiscal 2024 due to high interest rates, leading to decreased demand for new charging stations and negatively impacting ChargePoint's financial metrics [8][11]. - Analysts expect ChargePoint's revenue to rise by 11% in fiscal 2026, although this outlook may be influenced by external factors such as tariffs and trade tensions [11]. Future Outlook - ChargePoint anticipates achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2026, with analysts projecting a return to positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2027, which could stabilize the company and enhance its stock value [12]. - The company’s enterprise value stands at $434 million, trading at less than 1 times its estimated sales for fiscal 2026, indicating potential for stock appreciation with positive news [13]. Investment Considerations - ChargePoint's stock is considered a risky investment, but potential positive developments, such as better-than-expected quarterly results and a clearer outlook, could attract deep-value investors and trigger a short squeeze due to high short interest [14].
Here's Why ChargePoint Stock Is a Buy Before the End of May