猪价近期超预期上涨，分析师称或难改后期下跌趋势

Group 1 - Recent pork prices have unexpectedly risen, with analysts suggesting that this short-term increase may not alter the downward trend expected in the future [1][2] - As of April 21, the price of live pigs reached 15.01 yuan/kg, marking a nearly 4% increase from 14.44 yuan/kg on February 13 [1] - Huatai Securities attributes the recent price increase to seasonal factors and inventory adjustments, while also noting that the supply of pigs is expected to increase in the future due to rising breeding stock and piglet numbers [1] Group 2 - The current pig market is characterized by weak supply and demand, with prices remaining stable due to the influence of secondary fattening [2] - As temperatures rise, the demand for pork may weaken, leading to a forecast of fluctuating prices in the short term [2] - Both Huatai Futures and Ruida Futures anticipate that while short-term prices may remain stable, there are medium-term risks of price declines due to potential increases in supply [2]