Valero(VLO) ZACKS·2025-04-22 14:20Core Viewpoint - Valero Energy (VLO) is expected to report a significant decline in quarterly earnings and revenues, with analysts predicting earnings of $0.43 per share, an 88.7% decrease year-over-year, and revenues of $28.45 billion, a 10.4% decrease from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised upward by 8.3%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are strongly correlated with short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Total operating revenues - Renewable diesel' at $635.55 million, reflecting a 55% decrease from the prior-year quarter [5]. - The 'Total operating revenues - Ethanol' is projected to be $997.56 million, indicating a 9.6% decline from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'Total operating revenues - Refining' is expected to be $27.22 billion, showing a year-over-year change of -9.7% [6]. Refining Margins - The consensus for 'U.S. Mid-Continent region - Refining margin per barrel of throughput' is $8.98, down from $13.20 in the same quarter last year [6]. - For the 'U.S. West Coast region - Refining margin per barrel of throughput', the estimate is $11.51, compared to $12.62 a year ago [7]. - The 'U.S. Gulf Coast region - Refining margin per barrel of throughput' is projected at $8.87, down from $14.11 in the same quarter last year [7]. Throughput Volumes - Analysts predict 'Refining - Total Throughput volumes per day' to be 2,824.11 thousand barrels of oil, an increase from 2,760 thousand barrels of oil year-over-year [8]. - 'U.S. Gulf Coast region - Throughput volumes per day' is expected to reach 1,732.09 thousand barrels of oil, up from 1,594 thousand barrels of oil in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'U.S. Mid-Continent region - Throughput volumes per day' is forecasted at 426.77 thousand barrels of oil, down from 452 thousand barrels of oil a year ago [9]. Regional Insights - 'North Atlantic region - Throughput volumes per day' is estimated at 465.99 thousand barrels of oil, slightly up from 449 thousand barrels of oil in the previous year [10]. - The estimated 'North Atlantic region - Refining margin per barrel of throughput' is $11.82, down from $15.67 in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Valero Energy shares have returned -17.5% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a -8.9% change [11].