Earnings Preview: Martin Marietta (MLM) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Martin Marietta (MLM) despite an increase in revenues when it reports its results for the quarter ended March 2025 [1] Earnings Expectations - Martin Marietta is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.84 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4.7$1.35 billion, which is an increase of 8.3% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.83% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10] - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.07% [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [8] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Martin Marietta was expected to post earnings of $4.60 per share but exceeded expectations with actual earnings of$4.79, resulting in a surprise of +4.13% [12] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13] Conclusion - Martin Marietta does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [16]