Here's How RTX Shocked the Market Today (Hint: It's Tariff Related)

Core Viewpoint - The stock of aerospace and defense company RTX experienced a significant decline due to concerns over the potential impacts of tariffs, despite a stable earnings report and guidance for the year [1][2]. Financial Performance - RTX's first-quarter earnings report showed no issues, maintaining full-year sales and earnings guidance with expectations of organic sales growth of 4%-6%, adjusted EPS of $6.00-$6.15, and free cash flow (FCF) of $7 billion to$7.5 billion [2]. - The adjusted operating profit for RTX is projected to be approximately $10.2 billion in 2024 [3]. Tariff Impact - Management estimates the negative impact of tariffs on operating profit to be around$850 million, broken down as follows: - Canada and Mexico tariffs: ~$250 million - China tariffs: ~$250 million - Global reciprocal tariffs: ~$300 million - Steel and aluminum tariffs: ~$50 million [4]. - The estimates provided by management include potential mitigating actions, and the CFO indicated that the cash flow impact could be larger due to delays in receiving refunds on duties [4]. Market Outlook - Despite the disappointing news regarding tariffs, the current stock price reflects this situation, and the $850 million impact could represent upside potential if trade conflicts are resolved, which is a scenario that all parties are reportedly interested in [5].