IMF下调今年全球经济增长预期至2.8%

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down its global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 2.8%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the prediction made in January this year [1] - For 2026, the global economy is expected to grow by 3%, which is 0.3 percentage points lower than the January forecast [1] - Developed economies are projected to grow by 1.4% this year and 1.5% next year, while emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow by 3.7% this year and 3.9% next year [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that the trade tensions and adjustments in financial markets are leading to increased downside risks for the economic outlook [1] - The escalation of trade wars and uncertainty in trade policies may further weaken both short-term and long-term growth prospects [1] - The IMF has noted that the overall inflation rate is expected to decline slightly below the January forecast, with inflation rates projected to be 4.3% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026 [2] Group 3 - The IMF emphasizes the need for countries to constructively work towards creating a stable and predictable trade environment, promoting international cooperation, and addressing domestic policy gaps and structural imbalances [2]