Northrop Grumman's Flight Path Recalculated: Analyst Trims Forecast, Reiterates Buy

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities analyst Ronald J. Epstein maintains a Buy rating on Northrop Grumman Corporation but lowers the price forecast from $585 to $550 due to recent earnings misses [1]. Financial Performance - Northrop Grumman reported first-quarter revenue of $9.47 billion, which fell short of analyst estimates of $9.94 billion [1]. - The company’s first-quarter adjusted earnings were $6.06 per share, missing the expected $6.26 per share [1]. Future Production and Strategic Value - Northrop Grumman is advancing with the 21-aircraft low-rate initial production phase, while managing limitations on units 22 through 40 [2]. - The market may be overlooking the long-term strategic value of Northrop Grumman's portfolio, which aligns with key defense priorities such as Sentinel, GPI, classified space programs, and electronic warfare [3]. Earnings Estimates Revision - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 has been reduced to $25.20 from $28.20, reflecting a $477 million pre-tax charge related to the B-21 program [5]. - The 2026 EPS estimate has been revised to $28.10 from $28.80, and the 2027 projection has been lowered to $29.50 from $30.80 [5]. Market Reaction - Northrop Grumman shares are trading higher by 1.26% to $469.94 as of the latest check [5].