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Chipotle sales slump as recession fears hit burrito chain: ‘Consumers were saving money'

Core Viewpoint - Chipotle Mexican Grill has lowered its annual comparable sales growth forecast due to persistent inflation and economic uncertainty, leading to a decline in consumer dining out, which resulted in a 3% drop in the company's shares after hours [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of $2.85 billion for the first quarter, which was below analysts' average estimates of $2.95 billion [4]. - Comparable restaurant sales fell by 0.4% in the first quarter ended March 31, a significant decline compared to a 5.4% increase in the previous quarter [4][6]. - Restaurant-level operating margin decreased to 26.2% in the first quarter, down from 27.5% a year ago [6]. Market Conditions - Economic factors such as sticky inflation and rising living costs have led consumers to reduce restaurant visits, impacting Chipotle's sales [1][2]. - The company has noted that consumer uncertainty began to rise in February, with trends of reduced spending continuing into April [3]. Tariff Impact - Analysts have indicated that Chipotle may face challenges from import tariffs on key ingredients like avocados and beef, which could affect costs [3][6]. - In January, the company estimated that tariffs on Mexico would result in a roughly 60-basis-point increase in raw material costs for the year [7]. Operational Adjustments - To mitigate the impact of rising input costs, Chipotle has invested in technology to optimize kitchen operations, including the introduction of produce slicers and three-tiered rice cookers [7].