美国房价涨不动了？3月二手房销售降温信号显现

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that while the sales of second-hand homes in the U.S. may decline in March, home prices continue to rise, although the pace of price increases may slow down or even decline due to changing market dynamics [1][2] - Economists predict a slight decrease in the annualized sales rate of second-hand homes from 4.26 million in February to 4.12 million in March, despite a year-over-year price increase of 4.6% [1] - A survey by Fannie Mae suggests that experts expect home prices to rise by 3.4% in 2025, a decrease from the 5.8% increase recorded for 2024 [1] Group 2 - Zillow's latest forecast predicts a 1.9% decline in home prices by 2025, attributing this to a shift in the balance between buyers and sellers as mortgage rates decrease [2] - The increase in market inventory is a significant factor that could lead to a decline in home prices, with listings up nearly 30% year-over-year as of March 2025 [2] - In areas like Austin, Texas, the number of listings has surpassed pre-pandemic levels, leading to a decrease in listing prices per square foot, indicating a potential price adjustment in response to increased supply and reduced buyer activity [2]