4 Utility Stocks Poised to Surpass Q1 Earnings Expectations

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Utilities sector is expected to see a 13.2% increase in first-quarter 2025 earnings, driven by new electric, natural gas, and water rates, cost-saving initiatives, and customer growth [1] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Four utilities, DTE Energy, American Electric Power, Exelon Corporation, and NiSource Inc., are identified as likely to exceed earnings expectations this reporting cycle due to positive Earnings ESP and favorable Zacks Ranks [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DTE Energy's first-quarter earnings is $1.91, reflecting a 14.4% increase year-over-year [9] - American Electric Power's first-quarter earnings estimate is $1.75, indicating a 37.8% increase from the previous year [11] - Exelon's first-quarter earnings per share estimate is 75 cents, representing an 8.7% year-over-year increase [13] - NiSource's first-quarter earnings estimate is 88 cents, showing a 3.5% increase from the year-ago figure [15] Group 2: Influencing Factors - Utility providers are benefiting from higher electricity rates, accretive acquisitions, cost reductions, and energy-efficiency programs [3] - The shift to renewable energy sources and improvements in electric infrastructure resilience are also contributing positively [3] - Economic improvements in service territories have increased demand for utility services, boosting revenues [5] - The rise of data centers, particularly those supporting AI, has significantly increased electricity consumption, benefiting utility revenues [5] - Lower capital servicing expenses due to a one percentage point reduction in the Fed's fund rate since September 2024 are expected to enhance margins and profitability for capital-intensive utilities [6] Group 3: Challenges - Severe storms in March 2025 caused power outages in some service regions, potentially leading to higher operating expenses for utilities [7] - DTE Energy's profitability may be impacted by severe storms in southeast Michigan, despite benefiting from rising demand from data centers [8] - American Electric Power also faced negative impacts on earnings due to power outages caused by severe storms in its service areas [10]