Workflow
日联科技(688531):高端突破+进口替代 工业X射线检测龙头起航

Core Insights - The company is a leading player in China's industrial X-ray source and detection equipment sector, breaking the overseas monopoly in integrated circuits, electronic manufacturing, new energy batteries, and material testing, thus facilitating domestic substitution [1][2]. Business Overview - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 740 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million yuan, with a non-recurring net profit of 95 million yuan. The revenue structure for the first half of 2024 shows that X-ray detection equipment, spare parts, and others accounted for 87% and 12% of total revenue, with gross margins of 41% and 74% respectively [2][3]. - The X-ray detection equipment business includes revenue contributions from integrated circuit electronic manufacturing (41%), cast products (27%), and new energy battery automatic detection systems (17%), with corresponding gross margins of 48%, 37%, and 33% [2][3]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has achieved a breakthrough in micro-focus X-ray sources, establishing a competitive landscape with Japanese and American firms, creating a tripartite competition in the global market [2]. - The company is positioned to benefit from high-end product breakthroughs and the drive for import substitution, indicating significant growth potential [2][3]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company’s revenue from high-end spare parts has reached 12% of total revenue in the first half of 2024, with a high gross margin of 74%. The revenue from X-ray detection equipment for integrated circuit manufacturing grew by 32% in the first half of 2024, indicating strong demand and growth potential in this sector [3]. - The company has a robust cash flow with approximately 2.4 billion yuan in cash equivalents as of the third quarter of 2024, providing a solid foundation for future development [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for the company from 2024 to 2026 are 140 million yuan, 220 million yuan, and 300 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 55%, and 38% respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 50, 32, and 24 times [4]. - The anticipated tariff policies are expected to accelerate the domestic production of X-ray sources and detection equipment, potentially increasing the company's market share. A target price of 85.98 yuan is set for 2025, with a recommended "buy" rating [4].